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DRC: Tshisekedi running out of options in M23 battle

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Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi.

After continuously losing the battles in the east of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) despite employing a huge number of troops, Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi is running out of options in his effort to defeat the M23 rebels.


The latest evidence is the loss of the strategic town of Kanyabayonga, about 100 kilometers north of Goma, the capital of North Kivu Province. The town fell into the hands of the M23 on June 28. The rebels entered the town late in the evening after the retreat of the Congolese army and its allies.


Regional security analysts believe that this should be a wake up call to Tshisekedi, who should realize that the remaining option is political dialogue, as he was advised by regional leaders who he ignored.


“This again proves that Tshisekedi has to understand that the security crisis in his country can never be solved militarily. Only a political solution will put an end to this lengthy conflict. He is even lucky that M23 accepts dialogues! The rebels have, on many occasions, declared that they want Kinshasa to understand their cause, and recognize their rights like other Congolese nationals. It is not the same with other rebel groups whose first aim would have been to overthrow the government,” said one regional analyst who preferred anonymity.


Tshisekedi invested billions of dollars in purchasing heavy military equipment and logistics, and paying thousands of eastern European and American mercenaries, local and foreign militia groups, as well as Burundian troops, to fight M23 collectively.


The Congolese army and its vast allied coalition with over 40,000 soldiers –almost five times larger than the rebel group’s personnel estimated at around 8,000– started heavy attacks against M23 since October 2023. But the rebels keep on advancing, capturing territory after territory.


The Congolese government bought war jets and drones for heavy air attacks, yet no improvement was witnessed on the battlefield. Some of them were either shot down or crashed at the airport in Goma. 


Several armored vehicles were burnt down, others captured by the rebels.


Even the so-called intelligence that the UN mission in DRC fed the Congolese army coalition made the situation worse, as their shelling targeted civilians instead of M23 rebel bases.


Kinshasa has done “its best” to fight, but failed to defeat the rebels, so far.


This recalls the fact that M23’s resurgence in late 2021 was as a result of the poor management of the problem back in 2013 when a military solution was sought instead of a political solution.


History has, on many occasions, proven that conflicts like the one in eastern DRC cannot be solved militarily. Today, Tshisekedi as well as his predecessor Joseph Kabila are the best eyewitnesses.


If Tshisekedi really wishes peace for the Congolese, he will opt for dialogue. Only genuine political dialogue will solve the conflict that concerns the M23 rebellion.


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