Regional
DRC: What if the EAC Regional Force leaves?
Soon
after arriving in the volatile east of the Democratic Republic of Congo, in
November 2022, the East African Community Regional Force (EACRF) made progress
in bringing back law and order in the region. The presence of EACRF in eastern
DRC allowed a ceasefire to last for about eight months.
From February
to September 2023, there was no heavy fighting between the Congolese government
coalition and the M23 rebels.
Related: DRC:
EAC Regional Force’s mandate extended, Tshisekedi unsettled
EAC
leaders commended the good work by the regional force that was mandated to
create a buffer zone to prevent confrontations between Congolese armed forces
(FARDC) and the M23 rebels as well as encourage political dialogue.
The bloc
then extended the regional force’s mandate to December 8.
But Kinshasa
was never happy with the regional force’s presence and had begrudgingly agreed
to the mandate extension. The latter was done to help consolidate the gains the
regional force had made. President Félix Tshisekedi has, on many occasions, stressed
that he wants the regional force out of his country.
The
Congolese president accused the bulk of the regional force comprising troops
from Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan and Burundi of not fighting the M23 rebels.
Kinshasa calls the rebels terrorists and has refused regional calls to dialogue
with them.
Fighting
resumed and intensified since October 1 around Goma, the capital of North Kivu
Province, with clashes between M23 rebels, the Congolese army and groups of
pro-government militia. The seven-member EAC is facing its biggest challenge
yet as fighting between the Congolese armed forces, state-backed militia and
M23 rebels intensifies.
A
Kenyan soldier in the EACRF contingent has been killed. A convoy of Ugandan
soldiers was attacked. The region has seen heavy clashes between the Wazalendo
(patriots) – a DRC state-backed militia – and M23 rebels in areas near Goma,
the capital of North Kivu province.
Related: DRC:
Tshisekedi wants EAC regional force out, what’s next?
Congolese
government insists that after December 8, the EAC regional force will leave
eastern DRC.
Before
the security situation in eastern DRC worsened, the M23 rebels had been complying
with Luanda and Nairobi peace protocols by withdrawing from swathes of territories
they had captured and allowing the regional force to take over.
Competing
interests among the states that mandated the East African Community Regional
Force complicate its task as fighting intensifies in eastern DRC.
The
rebels have claimed that they have been attacked by, among others, Burundian troops
deployed under a separate bilateral agreement with Bujumbura, eastern European
mercenaries and the Rwandan genocidal militia, FDLR.
Related: Tshisekedi’s
penchant for chaos, war taking a toll on EAC regional force
The
EAC regional force in eastern DRC was the only mission that had managed to ensure
a ceasefire. Its exit, if it happens, could spell disaster.