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Michela Wrong’s remake of Rwanda’s untold story
Recent
studies show that mainstream media are more effective spreaders of
disinformation than fake news websites and social media. This raises questions
about the influence of invented facts if the filters ingrained in old school
journalism, such as fact-checking and hearing all sides, are abandoned
in favour of the more intuitive approach of the post-truth era.
This
question is particularly pertinent where the 1994 genocide against the Tutsi in
Rwanda is concerned. During the first two decades after the genocide,
alternative facts and conspiracy theories were the almost exclusive domain of
anti-imperialist activists, elderly catholic missionaries, and members of the
former regime, as well as Rwandan Diaspora subcultures linked to them. More
recently these previously marginal myths are being fed to a world audience by
reputable media like the BBC, Penguin
Random House, and The
New York Review of Books. This is cause for concern.
The
latest contribution to this new tradition is Michela Wrong’s book Do
Not Disturb: The Story of a Political Murder and an African Regime Gone Bad.
The book relates the turbulent history of the Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF),
the ruling party in Rwanda, from the perspective of former leaders turned
militant political rivals. According to the author, the book is meant to lend a
voice to “the other side” and reveal what president Paul Kagame keeps hidden,
as it were, under the carpet.
Although
parts of the book are probably close to the truth and a critical investigation
of current politics in Rwanda and the history of its leaders is a legitimate
approach for any journalist, the properly researched topics in this book are
intertwined with misconceptions that are given the appearance of credible facts
but are obviously not. This blend of accurate and false information presents
the reader with the problem of having to guess which is which.
In
a New Books Network
podcast the author explains that in her opinion even myths created
around the campfire may reflect a certain kind of reality: “… the fact that
something may not be rooted in actual facts in a way does not mean it’s not
true.” For readers less inclined to disconnect ‘facts’ from ‘truth’, the danger
is that the book might be mistaken for a historically accurate or balanced
account of recent Rwandan history.
Such
misapprehension has resulted in a series of rave reviews in prominent magazines
and newspapers praising Wrong for her “meticulous research”. In her review,
academic Susan Thomson describes the book as “a
masterclass of investigative journalism.” To her credit, Wrong dispels that
illusion. To Daniel
Flitton of The Interpreter, she reportedly declared that she
had “… deliberately eschewed the type of journalism that relies on gathering
evidence, putting the allegations [to the people concerned] and presenting both
sides, believing the Rwandan state has had plenty of opportunities to amplify
its message.”
Be
that as it may, relaying an unverified history as narrated by disgruntled
former RPF officers in exile is one thing, provided Wrong is frank about it,
but this covers only 60 % of the book. The remaining 200 pages recycle myths
that those familiar with the field have grown accustomed to from shadow
literature produced by a more sinister category of dissidents. One of the more
distasteful examples re-labels the thousands of genocide victims whose bodies
floated down the rivers
to Lake Victoria as Hutus killed by the RPF, which recycles a
propaganda message broadcast repeatedly by the Rwandan hate radio stations
during the genocide. All in all, Wrong’s intuitive methods prove highly
vulnerable to the power of suggestion.
Untold
Stories
2014
was a turning point in the mainstream media’s framing of the genocide against
the Tutsi. This was the year the BBC aired the controversial documentary “Rwanda’s Untold Story”. Apparently using
the film as her blueprint, the topics in Do Not Disturb are
largely the same, so too are the key informants and their arguments. Most
importantly, both the BBC program and Wrong’s book are characterised by the
omission of essential documentary evidence vital to make sense of the subject
matter.
It’s
beyond the scope of this blogpost to name and analyse every relevant piece of
evidence overlooked by Wrong and the BBC, or the misconceptions born out of
this negligence, but it’s worth examining one topic that’s been a cause of
polarisation among journalists and scholars for many years: the rocket attack
against president Habyarimana’s aircraft on the evening of 6 April 1994, an
event used by Hutu Power extremists as a pretext to seize control of the
Rwandan government, kill Hutu political moderates, and start to exterminate the
Tutsi minority.
After
the rocket attack, two theories prevailed. The first was that the Presidential
Guard (PG) under the direction of Colonel Theoneste Bagosora had staged a coup
d’état to prevent implementation of the Arusha Peace Accords signed by the
Habyarimana government and the RPF (as part of this, the PG was going to be
dissolved). The second theory was that the RPF had attacked the plane to
re-ignite the civil war and force its way to power by military means since they
feared losing the planned future elections agreed under the Arusha Accords.
Wrong
doesn’t discuss the first option and dismisses another explanation in which
Habyarimana’s widow was behind the assassination. This omission leaves the RPF
exposed as the prime suspects. In her book, Wrong uses the same informants and
documents as the BBC documentary, including several RPF dissidents who are
presented as witnesses but reject any personal involvement in the planning and
execution of the attack. They merely recycle arguments from a redundant
whodunnit-debate that used to focus on the question from which location the
assassins had fired the missiles.
Before
2012, some observers thought the missiles were fired from the Kanombe military
camp, where the PG were stationed, while others, like the dissidents, claimed
the crime scene was “La Ferme”, a spot in the valley below Masaka hill. Belgian
scholar Filip
Reyntjens describes the significance of that debate as follows: “The
importance of identifying the firing zone is considerable, because it is
unlikely that the RPF would have carried out the attack from the military
domain or its immediate surroundings, but it could have accessed the area of
Masaka.”
Forensic
investigation
Not
mentioned by Wrong and the BBC is that the matter of the shooters’ location was
settled a decade ago by an independent on-site forensic investigation. In 2010,
French judges Nathalie Poux and Marc Trévidic received permission to
investigate the crash site in Kigali. They brought along a multidisciplinary
team of specialised scientists who inspected the wreckage, established the
lines of sight of eyewitnesses, and examined six firing zones that were mentioned
in the various witness accounts, including La Ferme and Kanombe. Their findings
were published
in 2012, in a 338-page technical report. Because many scholars and
journalists are not scientists, I’ve visualised the relevant information in
Figure 1, using coordinates mentioned in the report.
Figure 1
The scientists first determined the plane’s position in the air when it was hit by a missile, and the part of the plane that was hit: the underside of the left wing. Their inspection of the damage revealed that the missile that hit the plane (another one had missed) had ruptured a fuel tank which caused the kerosene to escape and explode in mid-air. The damage to the wing then caused the plane to crash. This information, combined with other data they collected, led the scientists to conclude that the firing zone could not have been in the Masaka area as the RPF dissidents suggest. I’ll briefly explain the main arguments behind this conclusion:
The fact that the left wing was hit from below limits the area from where the missiles were fired to a left-front angle. La Ferme was located outside this area, to a left-rear angle. If the missiles were shot from La Ferme, they would have approached the airplane from behind, guided by their infra-red sensors to the engines attached to the tail, diagonally above the wings. The wreckage showed no missile damage to these parts of the plane and a miss would not have hit the underside of the wing.
The second reason was the distance to a group of Belgian doctors and a French officer in Kanombe, who heard the missile shots a few seconds before they saw the light of the fuel explosion. These facts limit the radius within which the shots were fired. La Ferme was more than 2 ½ kilometres away, far outside this radius. The sounds of shots from that area would have reached the ears of the witnesses after they saw the explosion, not before.
The
third reason was the direction of the missiles as observed by the doctors in
Kanombe. Through a window of the residence of surgeon Massimo Pasuch and his
wife Brigitte, looking in the direction of Masaka, they saw bright missile
trails going from right to left. Although they were looking in the Masaka
direction, La Ferme was hidden from their view in the valley, a hundred meters
below their position. The doctors could not have seen the trails of a missile
from La Ferme until it rose up from the valley, which would have been to their
left (indicated in blue in Fig. 1).
There
were several other facts leading to the same conclusion. While none of the
evidence supported La Ferme as the crime scene, it does fit an area in the
eastern part of the Kanombe military camp. The scientists concluded that the
shots must have been fired from an area of about 2.6 hectares east and south of
locations 2 and 6, provided there was a clear view towards the approaching
plane. In 1994 this zone was partially covered by a woodlot which further
limits the shooting zone to an area of about 1.5 hectares (in Fig. 1, this zone
is indicated in green).
Fringe
theories
Critics
like Barrie Collins and Filip Reyntjens have argued that the results produced
by the acoustics expert are unreliable because the circumstances at the test
location in France deviated from those in Rwanda. But when I asked Reyntjens to
indicate how much it affected the sound velocity, he admitted that he lacks the
technical expertise to answer that question. Another point of critical
importance concerns the possibility of evasive maneuvers by the pilots, but
none of the eyewitnesses has mentioned the type of aerobatics necessary for
linking the wing damage to a La Ferme-missile. Moreover, in that scenario, the
plane would not have crashed where it did.
These
results do not entirely rule out the RPF as suspects, but no theory has been
suggested in which they infiltrated their enemy’s military domain, waited for
the plane to arrive, shot it down, and escaped without being spotted. On the
other hand, the fact that the firing zone was a short stroll from the Kanombe
barracks, warrants a more critical look at other scenarios and suspects.
Unfortunately, Wrong’s ‘intuitive method’ left no room for reading the
scientific report and then discussing it in her book, let alone confronting her
informants with it.
Unfortunately,
there are dozens of examples of such poorly researched topics in Do Not
Disturb. Several hair-raising mistakes could have been prevented simply by
looking at the map. Usually, scholars and journalists who dismiss scientific
facts without a proper refutation, while clinging to unrealistic theories
because it’s their belief, are viewed as having entered the realm of pseudo-science.
It’s a mystery why this behaviour is deemed acceptable, even encouraged, in the
context of Rwanda and the genocide against the Tutsi.
Considering
that the public has a right to accurate information, the editors of mainstream
media outlets and academic journals, persuaded to publish fringe theories
because they come wrapped in a compelling, well-written story, should do a
better job upholding the ethical standards of the trade and prevent gross
errors and disinformation from taking on the appearance of credible facts. A
good story is not necessarily an accurate story.
Jos van Oijen is an independent researcher from The Netherlands who publishes on genocide-related issues in various online and print media.
Source: www.roape.net