Uganda’s Intelligence services in Panic mode, dreaming of an imaginary war with Rwanda

Uganda’s media sponsored by CMI and ISO are circulating rumours indicating that Rwanda is preparing to attack parts of western Uganda, without portraying any substantive evidence to assert their claims.  Sources within CMI reveal that Brig. Abel Kandiho is under pressure from Benjamin Rutabana’s family to explain the circumstances of his disappearance given that Benjamin Rutabana was a state guest under his custodian.  

Media houses like chimp reports are misleading the public opinion to avoid the public to comment on the issue instead diverting people’s attention claiming that Rwanda wants to attack parts of Uganda. In the letter, the wife, Diane Rutabana reveals that her husband was working with Ugandan intelligence to conduct terror activities against Rwanda until he disappeared.   the letter partly  reads ; ‘I tried to contact Brig. Abel Kandiho, one of the leaders of Uganda Security Agencies and one of my husband’s friends in Uganda – who used to talk frequently with Ben – and you remember very well how you used to call late at night and he picked your calls.’’

The prospect of open conflict between Uganda and Rwanda would seem inconceivable to many observers because of the long and intertwined history of the two countries’ leaderships. Some political observers wonder why Uganda’s media and officials continue to sound war drums and making intimidating gestures.

Uganda’s problem is not some perceived ‘enemies’ deserving of ‘crashing’ as one of high ranking UPDF officer  suggested at twitter recently but rather issues to do with deteriorating security and economic hardships faced by Ugandans. One political observer pointed out that Uganda’s governance question is not just about who can crush or not, it’s about providing practical solutions to their issues. Threats don’t work anymore. Leaders don’t threaten or intimidate but serve people.

The economic costs of the crisis between Rwanda and Uganda are also being felt. Uganda’s imports from the East African Community (EAC) increased more than 8 percent in the 2017–2018 fiscal year, largely due to trade with Rwanda and Burundi. This has decreased significantly given the restriction of movement across the Uganda/Rwanda border due to harassment of Rwandans in Uganda and the continuing crisis in Burundi.  At one time President Museveni dismissed the issue, saying that his country “will find better markets.” He did so in full military regalia, signifying that this was more than a trade war, If one would ask him today how many markets have been created so far he would not be able to mention at least one .

One option out of this quagmire would be for the Government of Uganda to cease its support to terror groups against Rwanda operating in Uganda as a durable long term solution.

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