There are signs of the deepening political crisis in Burundi and things are likely to get even worse as the period towards elections nears. Burundi remains unstable, with dead bodies often showing signs of torture still being discovered throughout various provinces, high-profile assassinations on the rise, and discontent within the army and in CDD-FDD is evident.
Despite the brief period of optimism that had followed Nkurunziza’s announcement that he will step down as a president in 2020, fears are once again growing about next year’s election.
Violations such as disappearances and torture by the police, military, and the ruling party’s youth league, Imbonerakure, persist including the isolation of army generals from those originating in pleine de l’imbo that include; the Famous Gen. Silas Ntigurirwa who recruited and welcomed Pierre Nkurunziza in CNDD and incorporated him in his Battalion, others are Maj. Gen Etienne Ntakarutimana former chief spy trained in Sudan and France and the technocrat Gen. Serge Ntakavura who acted as President Nkurunziza’s influential emissary in a number of tasks and duties.
As of to date the situation is getting bitter and bitter , members of opposition politicians like; Therence Ngendakumana, a supporter of CNL opposition party was killed on 6 November 2019, in Kinama near a police station.
Another opposition politician Casmir Busa, a resident of Gahombo- Kayanza province and member of MSD opposition party was killed on 5 November 2019 at his home. His killers were wearing police uniforms; it’s unclear if they were regular policemen or imbonerakure militiamen.
Many of the difficulties Burundians face stem from deepening ethnic divisions as Pierre Nkurunziza exerts control over power-sharing institutions that have managed the Hutu/Tutsi divide since the end of the civil war in 2005. This has been exacerbated by the failure of successive attempts to find a way through the political crisis and a smooth path to the 2020 elections. Many Burundians only expect Nkurunziza’s ethnically-charged rhetoric to get more inflammatory during election season.
The CNDD-FDD aligned security forces and the party’s youth wing, the Imbonerakure, also continue to harass and repress any opposition. With growing discontent within the CNDD-FDD and in Armed forces coupled with the desire by Nkurunziza to remain in power, President Nkurunziza is likely to change cabinet in order to get rid of whoever challenges his intentions and plans as he previously did in the Army and in Intelligence services.
It is evident that pro- Guillaume Bunyoni officers in Police are the one’s holding the remote control in Intelligence and security organs and it will be no any one’s surprise to see General Guilauime Bunyoni being groomed and brought into cabinet as a reward to have supervised Nkurunziza’s manouvres to remain in power.