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DRC crisis: EAC leaders insist on political solution, but will Kinshasa really budge?

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East African Community (EAC) leaders, on May 31, convened in the Burundian commercial capital, Bujumbura, to discuss the way forward in relation to the restoration of peace and security in eastern DRC, among others.  

 

Among the resolutions, the 21st extraordinary EAC summit reaffirmed “that the security situation in eastern DRC can only be sustainably resolved through a political process” through dialogue among all the parties.  

 

They urged the DRC government to work with the EAC-led Nairobi peace process and the facilitator, former Kenyan president, Uhuru Kenyatta, to “finalize the appropriate dates for resumption of the inter-Congolese dialogue.”

 

The inter-Congolese dialogues, under the EAC-led Nairobi process which was initiated in April 2022, are the peace talks that bring together armed groups, civil society groups, women and youth groups, survivors of the conflict and Congolese government. The dialogues are meant to create mechanisms for bringing back peace in restive eastern DRC which is home to more than 130 armed groups.

 

The third and the latest dialogue was held in December 2022. The fourth inter-Congolese consultations were expected in February 2023, in eastern DRC, but did not take place. In April 2023, Kenyatta said the dialogue dates were yet to be disclosed. Almost two months later, it seems, not all hope was lost. The reason of the delay was not announced but to serious Kinshasa observers, the writing was on the wall.

 

The M23 rebel group which is the main protagonist for Kinshasa was excluded from the dialogue by its government in May 2022 on condition that the rebels first cease fire and withdraw from the captured territories. But that was a lie.

 

The Congolese government said the rebels were terrorists that it did not want to negotiate with. This, most likely, explains why ever since the group began pulling out of its occupied positions in December 2022 Kinshasa didn’t show any sign of willingness to negotiate with the rebels.

 

During the 20th EAC extraordinary summit held in February, regional leaders had called upon the DRC government to come to the negotiation table with M23 to chart a way to sustainable peace but Kinshasa ignored them. The latter keeps advancing the war rhetoric and insists that there will be no dialogue with the rebels, or ‘terrorists’ as Kinshasa prefers to call them.

 

 President Felix Tshisekedi has openly said that political dialogue with the M23 is a dream that will never be true.

 

He openly accused the EACRF of ‘cohabiting’ with M23 rebels after the regional troops declined to enter combat.

 

“There is no question of political dialogue with this group. I say it and I want to make it clear that it will never be a question of it. Quite simply because it is through this kind of dialogue that they take advantage of the situation to infiltrate us. Infiltrate elements that will later create fallacious claims and justify their aggression against the DRC,” Tshisekedi said in April.

 

And he has, lately, hit the road, in search for his coveted Plan B. The Congolese president wants Southern African Development Community troops to fight the M23 but it remains unclear whether the latter have the will, or the ability, to wade into the muddy water that is eastern DRC especially now with elections due in December 2023.

 

The Congolese leader went beyond speeches and requested the Southern African Development Community bloc in which he is a chairperson, to deploy troops in the east of his country to combat the rebels. On May 8, SADC approved his request.

 

Tshisekedi ignored the advice of his fellow EAC leaders and criticized how their forces were handling the problem of M23 in a peaceful way to the extent that he accused the former of collaborating with the group. 

 

His demeanor is like that of a besieged ill man who wants to cure the symptoms of a disease and ignore the root causes, the same way it happened in 2013, when the UN Mission’s Force Intervention Brigade pounced on the rebels.

 

If he is really concerned about the suffering of his people, as he claims to, Tshisekedi should allow political dialogue to try find durable solutions.

 

Considering how intractable the conflict in eastern DRC is, Tshisekedi should not focus on wearing a crown of victory against the M23. He should create conditions for constructive and definitive dialogue to attain sustainable peace. The rebels are fighting for a genuine reason – the protection of their right to citizenship and peace. The more the Congolese government keeps evading it the harder the situation will become.

 

The M23 problem remerged several times because the Congolese government failed to address the root causes. Part of the underlying issue is the persecution of Rwandophones, and especially the Congolese Tutsi, who face identity-based violence and are systematically excluded. Problems rooted in ideology cannot be fixed with a bullet.

 

It is imperative that Kinshasa listens to EAC leaders and the grievances of the M23 so as to achieve long-lasting peace and security in eastern DRC. It is high time, because the region’s citizens have never had security for almost three decades.

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